The summer movie season is over. Yes, it’s sad. Dry your eyes. You’ll have to wait for the DVD to see stupid robots portray stereotypes. I hate it too.
But how did I do? I made some predictions in April. Some shined, some tanked, some neared the mark, some aren’t out yet.
Not bad
Wolverine: I guessed #6 for the year and $208 million. It’s #8 now, so I guess it can’t get better. I went about 13% too high.
Up: It blew away analyst guesses, including mine by about 30%. Yikes. But, I did put it at #5 for the year, which should be close in the end. It currently sits at #3 for the year.
What the?
The Hangover: Who knew this low-budget comedy would make more than seven times its production cost? It’s lasting as long as the hangover the guys had in the movie. At $270 million it will stay in the top 10.
Ice Age 3: It is just behind Monster vs. Aliens for second on the animated gross list and #7 overall. Yet it’s made more than $600 million overseas, beating Spider-Man, The Phantom Menace, and every animated movie ever made.
Failed it
Terminator: Salvation: Yikes. Ouch. Yeesh. These are sounds coming from me and Warner Brothers. I missed its total by only, oh, more than $100 million. It is number one in bust of the year.
Star Trek: It attracted the nerd crown, the geek crowd, and enough of the mainstream, I-pretend-to-be-neither-nerd-nor-geek crowd to make it #1 for several weeks. Though it is at #5 now, it should slip closer to my guess of #9 for the year.
Nailed it
Night at the Museum 2: Original guess: $170 million. Current total: about $177 million.
Harry Potter 6: My guess: $317 million, #2. Current total: $298 million, #2. It should scrape past $300 million.
Transformers 2: My guess: $415 million, #1. Current total: $400 million, #1. BAM!
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